文章摘要
加密货币超级政治行动委员会在伊利诺伊州初选中投入1420万美元,其中1280万美元(90%)未能达到目的——反对的民主党候选人Stratton和Ford均赢得初选。仅有的成功案例是反对原本排名第三的候选人Peters,最终该候选人仅获12%选票。
文章总结
加密货币行业超级政治行动委员会在伊利诺伊州初选中豪掷1420万美元,其中90%(1280万美元)打了水漂——这些资金要么用于反对最终胜选的民主党候选人(参议院选区的斯特拉顿和H-07选区的福特),要么支持了他们的对手。
亲加密行业的Fairshake超级政治行动委员会网络斥资1000万美元反对参议院候选人朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿,另花费250万美元反对H-07选区候选人拉肖恩·福特,但两位候选人均成功赢得初选。
该组织在伊利诺伊州仅有的成功案例,都是投资于本就胜算极高的选情:他们反对民调排名第三、最终仅获12%选票的罗伯特·彼得斯(H-02选区);同时支持民调领先的比恩(H-08选区)和现任议员布津斯基(H-13选区)。
值得注意的是,这些早期投入仅消耗了超级政治行动委员会可用资金的不到6%,这意味着未来八个月的选战还将持续上演烧钱大战。
(注:原文中的图片链接及部分选区链接因不影响核心事实传达,在编译时作了省略处理)
评论总结
以下是评论内容的总结,平衡呈现不同观点,并保留关键引用:
1. 游说效果存疑
- 主要观点:游说在伊利诺伊州初选中效果有限,选举结果更多由人口结构和政治历史决定。
- 论据:
- "Nobody's lobbying achieved objectives in the Illinois primary... The candidates that won were the candidates you'd expect to win given demographics" (tptacek)
- "Throwing money at a Republican primary candidate in Illinois is probably as ineffective as it would be in New York" (mmahd7456)
2. 加密货币游说资金浪费
- 主要观点:加密货币行业PAC投入大量资金但收效甚微,大部分资金支持了失败的候选人。
- 论据:
- "90% of that – $12.8 million – was wasted, in that it went to opposing Democratic candidates who won their primaries" (buddhistdude)
- "Crypto just went along for the ride" (jmyeet)
3. 亲以色列团体影响选举
- 主要观点:亲以色列PAC投入大量资金针对支持巴勒斯坦的候选人,但结果好坏参半。
- 论据:
- "AIPAC and other dark-money Israel-affiliated PACs spent to defeat pro-Palestinian candidates" (jmyeet)
- "There is a war in the Democratic Party between anti-genocide candidates... and the establishment" (jmyeet)
4. 竞选资金的实际作用
- 主要观点:竞选资金对不知名候选人有效,但对知名候选人影响有限;资金多不代表能"购买"选举。
- 论据:
- "Campaign spending does have an effect for unknown candidates, but once the voters know who you are... further spending doesn't move the needle" (BurningFrog)
- "It's true that the campaign with most money usually wins, but that does not the money caused the win!" (BurningFrog)
5. 选民对加密货币游说的态度
- 主要观点:部分选民明确反对受加密货币PAC支持的候选人。
- 论据:
- "I vote against anybody who is supported by crypto pacs as one of my top priorities" (lerntoospel)